Papers and projects about polling averages, presidential forecasts, congressional forecasts, election demographics, and the incumbency advantage.
Category: Elections: House
Read Some of My Papers from the Spring 2020 Semester!
Papers and projects about the 2020 election, data journalism, electoral reform, authoritarian leadership, and this blog.
House Retirements Are on the Rise, But What’s Driving Them?
So far, 19 Representatives have announced their retirements in 2020. Are they scared of losing re-election, or is something else causing the exodus?
Quick Thoughts: The Tabulation Process for Maine’s 2nd Congressional District Was Ridiculous
"What now?" "Hit 'Save As'."
Election 2018 Thoughts
My post-mortem on last night's results.
Can Duncan Hunter Pull Through?
California Representative Duncan Hunter has been mired in scandal. As a result, he not only has to worry about his reputation; his chances of re-election are also at stake.
Races to Watch: Virginia’s 5th Congressional District
A brief rundown of the 2018 race in Virginia's 5th Congressional district.
Races to Watch: California’s 48th Congressional District
A brief rundown of the 2018 race in California's 48th Congressional district.
Quick Thoughts: Democrats Lead Big in Recent Generic Ballot Polls
New generic ballot polls are looking good for Democrats. But how worried should the GOP be?
Generic Ballot Polls Are All Over the Place
Everyone's talking about the generic ballot. What is it, what's it saying, and why should you care?
First Past the Poll 