Papers and projects about polling averages, presidential forecasts, congressional forecasts, election demographics, and the incumbency advantage.
Papers and projects about the 2020 election, data journalism, electoral reform, authoritarian leadership, and this blog.
A statistical look at the strongest predictors of state-level turnout during the 2016 presidential election.
Many Democrats have once again called for the abolition of the Electoral College. Here's a brief history of this movement and some proof that it feeds into larger political discussions.
Do candidates gain an inherent advantage by announcing their campaigns before anyone else?
Papers about presidential convention bounces and the public perception of polls.