Papers and projects about polling averages, presidential forecasts, congressional forecasts, election demographics, and the incumbency advantage.
Category: History Lessons
Read Some of My Papers from the Spring 2020 Semester!
Papers and projects about the 2020 election, data journalism, electoral reform, authoritarian leadership, and this blog.
Read One of My Papers from the Fall 2019 Semester!
A statistical look at the strongest predictors of state-level turnout during the 2016 presidential election.
Eliminating the Electoral College Has Long Been a Partisan Issue…And It Isn’t Just About Eliminating the Electoral College
Many Democrats have once again called for the abolition of the Electoral College. Here's a brief history of this movement and some proof that it feeds into larger political discussions.
The Supposed Power of Early Campaigns
Do candidates gain an inherent advantage by announcing their campaigns before anyone else?
Read My Papers from the Fall 2018 Semester!
Papers about presidential convention bounces and the public perception of polls.
First Past the Poll 