Papers and projects about polling averages, presidential forecasts, congressional forecasts, election demographics, and the incumbency advantage.
Papers and projects about the 2020 election, data journalism, electoral reform, authoritarian leadership, and this blog.
The results of Super Tuesday fundamentally altered the trajectory of the 2020 Democratic primary, likely setting the pace for the race going forward. Here are five key points from the night, with speculation of what's to come.
Iowa Senator Joni Ernst seemed like a sure shot to win a second term. Now, though, her chances of reelection are less certain. What's driving this shift?
Ohio Senator Sherrod Brown announced that he won't seek the Democratic nomination in 2020. Based on his state's shifting political climate, that was probably the best move.
2018 phenom Beto O'Rourke has a tough choice ahead of him: should he run for the presidency or the Senate? Here are some compelling arguments on both sides.
My post-mortem on last night's results.
Florida is home to close races for both Governor and Senate, but they're diverging. What gives?
Texas and Tennessee are home to two of the most vulnerable Republican-held Senate seats. Recent polls show that the GOP is gaining back ground.
A new poll from Stockton University has Democrat Bob Menendez behind in New Jersey. Hmm...