Papers and projects about polling averages, presidential forecasts, congressional forecasts, election demographics, and the incumbency advantage.
Category: Forecasting / Modeling
Read Some of My Papers from the Spring 2020 Semester!
Papers and projects about the 2020 election, data journalism, electoral reform, authoritarian leadership, and this blog.
Read One of My Papers from the Fall 2019 Semester!
A statistical look at the strongest predictors of state-level turnout during the 2016 presidential election.
Data Journalists Are Addressing Critics. But Will Their Efforts Work?
Following the 2016 election, sites like FiveThirtyEight and The Upshot have tried to make data journalism more accessible. What are they doing, and does it work?
First Past the Poll 