I finished my degree back in August, but today I’m sharing some of my favorite papers, essays, and projects that I put together while at Georgetown.
There are five in total:
- An evaluation of polling averages in the 2020 election, including discussion on the merits and drawbacks of more complex approaches to poll aggregation
- A review of presidential election forecasting, beginning with the history of the field and ending with the newest model designs
- A review of congressional election forecasting, detailing differences between House and Senate models alongside potential areas for improvement
- A visual storyboard of Cooperative Election Study (CES/CCES) survey data, showing how different demographic coalitions voted in the 2008–2020 presidential elections
- An overview of the incumbency advantage in House elections as well as suggestions on how to better quantify it, serving as a response to two major papers on the topic
I also have a few more things from grad school that I want to upload at some point, so be on the lookout for those.
First Past the Poll 