Iowa Senator Joni Ernst seemed like a sure shot to win a second term. Now, though, her chances of reelection are less certain. What's driving this shift?
Is Joni Ernst at Risk of Losing Her Iowa Senate Seat?
Author: Bradley Wascher
Bradley Wascher is a student at Western Kentucky University, studying Political Science and Applied Statistics. He can be found on Twitter at @BradWascher.
The Three Polling Numbers That Look Really Good for Elizabeth Warren
Elizabeth Warren's second-place polling average is reinforced by strong showings among high-information voters, an energized base, and seemingly broad support across the Democratic primary electorate.
House Retirements Are on the Rise, But What’s Driving Them?
So far, 19 Representatives have announced their retirements in 2020. Are they scared of losing re-election, or is something else causing the exodus?
Putting Monmouth’s Poll in Context
Monmouth University's newest poll was one of the most buzzworthy of the primary. Here's why it should (and shouldn't) be taken with a grain of salt.
So Far, Early 2020 Polls Paint an Uphill Battle for Bernie Sanders
Despite a strong 2016 presidential campaign, Bernie Sanders has seemingly failed to capture the same magic in 2020.
It Makes Sense That Joe Biden’s Base Makes No Sense
Joe Biden certainly has all the qualities of a frontrunner, but the coalition he's built has some peculiar traits. Here's why that's okay.
Breaking Down Pete Buttigieg’s Polling Gains
Pete Buttigieg, mayor of South Bend, Indiana and 2020 Democratic candidate, has been polling well these past few weeks. I provide a summary of the polls and offer potential explanations.
