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First Past the Poll

First Past the Poll

Bradley Wascher's Blog About Political Statistics

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Category: Elections: 2018

Someone Poll a Vulnerable Democratic Senate Seat. Please.

September 25, 2018March 23, 2022 ~ Bradley Wascher ~ Leave a comment

Despite hosting key Senate races, states like Missouri and North Dakota haven't seen very much national attention. What gives?

Quick Thoughts: Democrats Lead Big in Recent Generic Ballot Polls

September 5, 2018July 23, 2020 ~ Bradley Wascher ~ Leave a comment

New generic ballot polls are looking good for Democrats. But how worried should the GOP be?

Election 2018: What to Watch For Post-Labor Day

September 4, 2018March 23, 2022 ~ Bradley Wascher ~ Leave a comment

Labor Day is all about grilling, deal-hunting, and elections.

What Even is This Nevada Senate Campaign Ad?

August 27, 2018July 23, 2020 ~ Bradley Wascher ~ Leave a comment

A new GOP-backed Senate ad in Nevada brings this year's most important voter issue to the forefront — Jane Fonda's 1972 trip to Vietnam.

Generic Ballot Polls Are All Over the Place

August 17, 2018March 23, 2022 ~ Bradley Wascher ~ 3 Comments

Everyone's talking about the generic ballot. What is it, what's it saying, and why should you care?

House Democrats are Turning Against Nancy Pelosi. Most of Them are in Red Districts.

August 13, 2018July 23, 2020 ~ Bradley Wascher ~ Leave a comment

Outlets and pundits have long deemed Nancy Pelosi a liability, and those seeking House seats are beginning to agree. But there's one crucial, missing detail: a candidate's objection may be based on the areas in which they are running.

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