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First Past the Poll

First Past the Poll

Bradley Wascher's Blog About Political Statistics

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Author: Bradley Wascher

Bradley is a political data analyst. First Past the Poll is his blog.

Races to Watch: Virginia’s 5th Congressional District

October 25, 2018July 23, 2020 ~ Bradley Wascher ~ Leave a comment

A brief rundown of the 2018 race in Virginia's 5th Congressional district.

What’s Happening in Florida?

October 23, 2018March 23, 2022 ~ Bradley Wascher ~ Leave a comment

Florida is home to close races for both Governor and Senate, but they're diverging. What gives?

Races to Watch: California’s 48th Congressional District

October 22, 2018July 23, 2020 ~ Bradley Wascher ~ 1 Comment

A brief rundown of the 2018 race in California's 48th Congressional district.

Races to Watch: Ohio Governor

October 18, 2018July 23, 2020 ~ Bradley Wascher ~ Leave a comment

A brief rundown of the 2018 race for Ohio governor.

Quick Thoughts: Vulnerable GOP Senate Seats Are Seeming Less So

October 16, 2018July 23, 2020 ~ Bradley Wascher ~ 1 Comment

Texas and Tennessee are home to two of the most vulnerable Republican-held Senate seats. Recent polls show that the GOP is gaining back ground.

Don’t Get Worked Up About That New Jersey Poll Just Yet

October 2, 2018March 23, 2022 ~ Bradley Wascher ~ 1 Comment

A new poll from Stockton University has Democrat Bob Menendez behind in New Jersey. Hmm...

Someone Poll a Vulnerable Democratic Senate Seat. Please.

September 25, 2018March 23, 2022 ~ Bradley Wascher ~ Leave a comment

Despite hosting key Senate races, states like Missouri and North Dakota haven't seen very much national attention. What gives?

Data Journalists Are Addressing Critics. But Will Their Efforts Work?

September 9, 2018March 23, 2022 ~ Bradley Wascher ~ Leave a comment

Following the 2016 election, sites like FiveThirtyEight and The Upshot have tried to make data journalism more accessible. What are they doing, and does it work?

Quick Thoughts: Democrats Lead Big in Recent Generic Ballot Polls

September 5, 2018July 23, 2020 ~ Bradley Wascher ~ Leave a comment

New generic ballot polls are looking good for Democrats. But how worried should the GOP be?

Election 2018: What to Watch For Post-Labor Day

September 4, 2018March 23, 2022 ~ Bradley Wascher ~ Leave a comment

Labor Day is all about grilling, deal-hunting, and elections.

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