Heading into next month, there are too many Cooks in Cook County. I break down the big names in Chicago's mayoral race.
Author: Bradley Wascher
Bradley is a political data analyst. First Past the Poll is his blog.
The Supposed Power of Early Campaigns
Do candidates gain an inherent advantage by announcing their campaigns before anyone else?
Just How Unpopular is Elizabeth Warren?
Elizabeth Warren's popularity has been called into question as of late. Are naysayers' claims valid?
The First Selzer Poll of the 2020 Election Has Been Released — Here’s Why That’s Important
Selzer and Co. has released its first 2020 Iowa caucus poll. I look at the results and implications.
Listen to Me on a Podcast!
I was the guest host on this week's episode of the Western Kentucky University Political Science Podcast. Check it out!
Read My Papers from the Fall 2018 Semester!
Papers about presidential convention bounces and the public perception of polls.
The Strange 2020 Presidential Candidates: A First Look
In the lull between the 2018 midterms and the beginning of the 2020 primary season, it's fun to learn about some of the more obscure "candidates."
Quick Thoughts: The Tabulation Process for Maine’s 2nd Congressional District Was Ridiculous
"What now?" "Hit 'Save As'."
Election 2018 Thoughts
My post-mortem on last night's results.
Can Duncan Hunter Pull Through?
California Representative Duncan Hunter has been mired in scandal. As a result, he not only has to worry about his reputation; his chances of re-election are also at stake.
First Past the Poll 