These are my articles that have been published elsewhere.
Inside Elections
- New Jersey and Virginia: Key Counties to Watch, November 4, 2025
- The Most Evenly-Divided Counties in the Country, October 17, 2025
- Vote Above Replacement: Trump vs. Harris, January 24, 2025 (🔒)
- 2024 Baselines: How the States Have Shifted, December 5, 2024 (🔒)
- 2024 Presidential Battlegrounds: Wisconsin, October 18, 2024 (🔒)
- 2024 Presidential Battlegrounds: Arizona, August 29, 2024 (🔒)
- 2024 Presidential Battlegrounds: North Carolina, August 16, 2024 (🔒)
- 2024 Presidential Battlegrounds: Pennsylvania, May 23, 2024 (🔒)
- 2024 Presidential Battlegrounds: Nevada, May 9, 2024 (🔒)
- 2024 Presidential Battlegrounds: Georgia, April 26, 2024 (🔒)
- 2024 Presidential Battlegrounds: Michigan, April 11, 2024 (🔒)
- What Biden’s Approval Suggests About November, March 21, 2024
- Vote Above Replacement: 2022 House Challengers Running Again in 2024, January 26, 2024
- Vote Above Replacement: 2022 House Elections, January 10, 2024
- How to Measure the Partisanship of Every House Seat, December 8, 2023
- Methodology: Inside Elections’ Baseline by Congressional District, December 8, 2023
- Vote Above Replacement: 2022 Governor Elections, January 10, 2023
- Vote Above Replacement: 2022 Senate Elections, December 16, 2022
- Baseline Update: Which States Shifted the Most After 2022, December 2, 2022
- The 2022 Redistricting Cycle in 10 Graphics, August 4, 2022
- Missouri Redistricting: Elusive Competitiveness, June 3, 2022
- Kansas Redistricting: Why Not Split Wyandotte?, May 27, 2022
- Louisiana Redistricting: Not Much New from Baton Rouge, May 24, 2022
- Tennessee Redistricting: Down a Democratic District on Music Row, May 23, 2022
- Florida Redistricting: Tallying the Hassle in Tallahassee, May 17, 2022
- Massachusetts Redistricting: A Common Story in the Commonwealth, April 14, 2022
- Washington Redistricting: Same Old Blue and Red in the Evergreen State, March 31, 2022
- North Carolina Redistricting: Redistricting Re-Do, March 18, 2022
- South Carolina Redistricting: Palmetto State Palm Reading, March 10, 2022
- Kentucky Redistricting: Still One Blue Bluegrass Seat, February 22, 2022
- Virginia Redistricting: Old Dominion’s New Districts, February 8, 2022
- Illinois Redistricting: Multiple Member-on-Member Matchups, January 28, 2022
- 2022 Senate: A Range of Outcomes After Virginia and New Jersey, November 23, 2021
- Alabama Redistricting: A Crimson-Red Congressional Map, November 22, 2021
- Texas Redistricting: A Lone Swing Seat in the Lone Star State?, November 15, 2021
- Oregon Redistricting: (Mostly) Good News for Democrats, October 14, 2021
- Colorado Redistricting: New District, Fortunate Incumbents, October 4, 2021
- Biden’s First Big Bill Among the Most Popular of Its Kind, March 19, 2021 (🔒)
- Vote Above Replacement: 2020 Governor Elections, February 16, 2021 (🔒)
- Vote Above Replacement: 2020 Senate Elections, January 22, 2021 (🔒)
- Vote Above Replacement: 2020 Presidential Election, January 8, 2021 (🔒)
- Lessons and Challenges: Assessing the Performance of Polls in the 2020 Election, December 18, 2020 (🔒)
- Statewide Baseline Updates After the 2020 Election, December 18, 2020 (🔒)
- How Blue is North Carolina? District Baseline Analysis, November 2, 2020
- Presidential Snapshot in Time, October 30, 2020
- All Eyes on the Hawkeye State: Iowa Baseline by District, October 23, 2020
- Presidential Snapshot in Time, October 2, 2020
- Presidential Snapshot in Time, September 18, 2020
- Presidential Snapshot in Time, September 4, 2020
- Presidential Snapchat in Time, August 21, 2020
- Presidential Snapshot in Time, August 7, 2020
- Presidential Snapshot in Time, July 24, 2020
- Presidential Snapshot in Time, July 10, 2020
- Presidential Snapshot in Time, June 26, 2020
- Presidential Snapshot in Time, June 12, 2020
- Presidential Snapshot in Time, May 29, 2020
- Presidential Snapshot in Time, May 15, 2020
- Presidential Snapshot in Time, May 1, 2020
- COVID-19 Just Latest Challenge for Health Care Polling, April 27, 2020
- Be Careful When Explaining House Retirements, April 7, 2020
- Lesson Learned? The State of Statewide Polling, March 25, 2020
Noble Predictive Insights
- A Deep Look at Trump/Gallego Voters, June 27, 2025
- The New Anti-Trump Resistance in Utah, June 27, 2025
- Election Day Holiday Unlikely in Arizona or Nevada, June 27, 2025
- Utah Congressional Map Could Be More Representative (with David Byler), June 27, 2025
- Democrats’ 2028 Priorities: Traits vs Names, June 27, 2025
- They Know What They Care About. They’re Not Sure Trump’s Delivering., June 23, 2025
- Could Arizona’s Next Governor Be an Influencer?, April 3, 2025
- How AZ Gen Z Voters Shaped 2024, March 11, 2025
Foreign Policy Association | Foreign Policy Blogs
- Global Election Round-Up, September 9, 2022
Medium (freshman year of college)
First Past the Poll 